Thanks for your support!

Steve,

I am aware of the data in the link provided, but all it does is tell me what I have already outlined to you – that Jrue has a PER of over the league average of 15.0, and is therefore a good player, but also a WS/48 of below 0.1, and is therefore a bad player. I am asking you which metric is more valid with reference to Jrue, and you have told me that you are using your own grading. Fair enough, but if this is the case then the link you provided is not relevant to your argument and we should disregard these metrics.

I appreciate that you wish to keep your own work under wraps as I understand that it is your intellectual property, but some idea of how you calculate Jrue to be a below average player would be much appreciated.

Furthermore, I did not ask you for the methodology behind your own grading system, I simply wanted to know whether you prefer PER or WS/48 from a statistical point of view, and why.

I’ve just done a bit of work myself that I think may interest you:

I gathered PER and WS/48 data for this season on all guards with over 400 minutes played. Bear in mind that this data only includes guards, so the average PER’s and WS/48′s are not equal to 15 and 0.1. Here is a quick summary:

n=109

avgPER= 14.57

sdPER = 3.96

avgWS/48 = 0.091

sdWS/48 = 0.052

I created some t-test statistics (with which I assume your familiarity) for each player’s PER and WS/48. The t-statistics for Jrue’s PER and WS/48 are 10.12 and -2.24 respectively. Typically, with a sample size this large the industry standard level of significance would be 1%, however as I’m feeling generous I’ve allowed a 2% level of significance, giving critical values of -2.36 and +2.36.

Thus, we can conclude that Jrue’s PER is better than league average, but we cannot conclude with confidence that his WS/48 is worse than league average because it falls inside the critical values. Hence, using these two advanced stats, the only concrete evidence we have is that Jrue is a better than average player.

This is simple analysis and I’m sure is dwarfed by what you do, but I would be interested to know your thoughts on this.

Have a great week,

Joe.

]]>It should be easy enough to figure out by looking at the link provided.

How about this argument: Jrue gets outplayed more often than not

Jeff,

Considering my logic is supported by the fact that my writing compares quite favorably to anyone else writing about the 76ers and I have been spot on time and time again more so than anyone on plant Earth, ill just have to live with that.

I cab nonly lead you all to Water, you must drink

]]>Okay, so if you’re using your own grading then you’re disregarding the link to Jrue’s stats from basketball-reference and using your own stats, so why do you want someone to explain it? Surely, if you’re using your own grading, numbers like PER and WS/48 are irrelevant to your argument.

All the best,

Joe.

]]>My own grading, which isn’t going to be layed out in exact detail or close to it.

In simple terms, here is my assessment of JrueHoliday: He gets outplayed more often than not.

]]>Regarding the link that you would like explaining, allow me to offer my two cents.

Jrue has a PER of 18.5, which is 0.85 standard deviations better than the average of all players who have played over 400 minutes this season (~10mpg). This places him in the top 19% of all players in the league in terms of PER.

However, he has a WS/48 of 0.08, which is 0.40 standard deviations worse than average. This places him in the bottom 37% of all players in the league in terms of WS/48.

So now my question to you is this – these stats are telling us different stories about Jrue. Which do you believe, and why? That is, which metric do you think paints a more accurate portrayal of Jrue’s value to our beloved Sixers?

I would be fascinated to hear your answer and the methodology behind it.

Warm regards,

Joe.

]]>Getting cousins out here next to jrue and thad would be great for the timebeing while we wait for #33. playoffs might actually be a legit headline ]]>

Saying Hawes played better than Jrue during their best games is a meaningless statement. What about all the other games that Hawes plays weak in? Great, he’s played big against other bench players in games that we won. The problem is he plays bad in other games and isn’t being the big man we need (though I think he’s better than Allen).

You’re whole thing is you want vindication for your ideas. But you’re trying to do it on a Sixer’s blog where people come to root for the Sixers, not listening to a whining wanna-be know-it-all who thinks Kobe is a bad player while everyone else in the world sees him as a top five player and hall of famer.

But it’s cool, there was a nerdy kid in high school like you that tried to tell us WWF was real. We kept him around because we felt sorry for him.

But shout out to all the other writers here. Still one of the best blogs and Toll does keep it interesting in the Eskin kind of way.

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