HISTORY of #2

Posted by: Philadunkia
06/01/10 11:29 am EST

As we all know coming up later this month, the 76ers have the number two overall pick in the 2010 NBA Draft.  All of us here at Philadunkia are hoping and praying, just like all of you, that Ed Stefanski and Doug Collins will select a player that has a huge impact on this franchise for years to come and one would think that type of player would be very easy to find and draft at No. 2.

However, when we reviewed the list of #2 selections from the last twenty years of the NBA Draft, we found plenty of evidence that the Sixers (or any team for that matter) are just as likely to misfire badly with the #2 overall pick as they are to get it right.  To be honest, this Draft history crash course made our stomachs a little queasy, so of course we thought we’d share it with our readers.

 

Here’s a look at the last twenty overall #2 selections in the NBA Draft…

PLAYER   YEAR   COLLEGE   DRAFTED BY  
   
Gary Payton   1990   Oregon State   Seattle SuperSonics  
Kenny Anderson            1991   Georgia Tech   NJ Nets  
Alonzo Mourning   1992   Georgetown   Charlotte Hornets  
Shawn Bradley   1993   BYU   Philadelphia 76ers  
Jason Kidd   1994   California   Dallas Mavericks  
Antonio McDyess   1995   Alabama   LA Clippers  
Marcus Camby   1996   UMass   Toronto Raptors  
Keith Van Horn   1997   Utah   Phila. 76ers (Traded to NJN)  
Mike Bibby   1998   Arizona   Vancouver Grizzlies  
Steve Francis   1999   Maryland   Vancouver Grizzlies  
Stromile Swift   2000   LSU   Vancouver Grizzlies  
Tyson Chandler   2001   Dominquez HS (CA)   LA Clippers  
Jay Williams   2002   Duke   Chicago Bulls  
Darko Milicic   2003   Serbia-Montenegro   Detroit Pistons  
Emeka Okafor   2004   UConn   Charlotte Bobcats  
Marvin Williams   2005   UNC   Atlanta Hawks  
LaMarcus Aldridge   2006   Texas   Chicago Bulls (Traded to POR)  
Kevin Durant    2007   Texas   Seattle SuperSonics  
Michael Beasley             2008   Kansas St.   Miami Heat  
Hasheem Thabeet             2009   UConn   Memphis Grizzlies

 

So here’s how we break down the success of the #2 selection in the NBA Draft since 1990…

Hall of Famers (4) — No definition necessary.

Payton

Mourning

Kidd

Durant** 

** (Durant is a prediction given what he has done in the NBA so far.)

Consistent All-Star Level Players (1)These guys have all the skills necessary to go down as a “great player” in NBA history and their resume gets more impressive with each year.  With some hard work and some luck on the injury front, they could be a long shot to jump into the first category. 

Aldridge

Impact Players(5) — These guys may have an All-Star appearance or two on their resume and at times can / could take over a game.  At their peak or possibly still today you’d be happy like to have each of them on the Sixers roster.

Anderson

Bibby

Camby

Francis

McDyess

Solid Players (3) — These players know their role, do it well and could be the piece to a NBA Championship puzzle, but in hind sight going #2 in the NBA Draft was too high given their career performance.

Chandler

M. Williams

Okafor

TBD (1) — The early returns have been average, but there have been flashes of brilliance.  Everyone is still talking about potential and upside with this group.

Beasley

Straight Flops (5)What can you say?  The warning signs were all there and still some NBA GM ignored the fact that the following group of players would not make it in the NBA and selected these players with the No. 2 overall pick in the NBA Draft.

Bradley

Van Horn

Milicic

Swift

Thabeet 

Wash Outs (1)Personal or injury problems sidelined a promising career.

Jay Williams (injury)                 

 

Philadunkia Notes:

Having the #2 pick doesn’t guarantee that the 76ers will draft a prospect that has a long range positive impact on the franchise.  Out of the twenty players drafted at #2 since 1990, wed’ put only four in the HoF category, and only 10 overall were rated as “Impact Players” or higher on our scale.  A 50% success rate is a nice number in a lot of areas of life, but not when you are talking about whether or not you got it right with the 2nd pick in the NBA Draft.

Seven-footers have a high failure rate.  Of the 5 players placed in the “Straight Flop” category, four were listed as 7’ 1” or more.

Guards are a safe bet.  Of the 13 players we rated as “Solid” or higher on our scale, five were either point guards (Payton, Kidd, Anderson and Bibby) or shooting guards (Francis), and there was an intelligent argument made that Durant should be considered a shooting guard not a forward based on his style of game and skill set.  If you put Durant in with the guards, then that would bring their total to six.

The Grizzlies should never, ever draft a center again.  With Swift and Thabeet on the franchise’s resume, they may want to look at prospects who do not measure 7-foot tall.


 
 
 

3 Responses to “HISTORY of #2”

  1. Dan
    1. June 2010 at 13:46

    Why is Thabeet a flop and not in the potential category? Before the draft everyone said he was a project but as soon as he struggled in his rookie season he was deemed a failure. He is still young, still has the necessary physical attributes to be dominant and showed flashes of promise in the D-league and down the stretch of the Grizzlies season. To deem him a bust now is certainly premature.

  2. Philadunkia
    1. June 2010 at 14:59

    The #2 pick in any NBA Draft should not spend a single tick in the D-League. A player taken at No. 2 has to be an immediate impact player. That’s especially true if your selected by the Memphis Grizzlies who won 24 games in 2008-09 and improved this season, but still only won 40 in 2009-10. Now you could argue that it’s the Grizz’s mistake for taking him that high, which we would agree with, but in the end, Thabeet has so far been a flop as a #2 pick.

  3. Mike
    2. June 2010 at 14:03

    Turner will be a Hall of Famer or Consistent All-Star. At absolute worst he’s an impact player.

    Favors can range from Hall of Famer to solid NBA player. I expect he’s going to be an impact player.

    Cousens can range anyway from Hall of Famer to straight bust. He has Hall of Fame talent but I have no patience for a guy who can’t get in shape before he has money. Plus, the guy has terrible body language.

    This is not a difficult decision unless our scouts are absolutely in love with Favors and see skills that for some reason he wasn’t able to show in college.

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