As we all know coming up later this month, the 76ers have the number two overall pick in the 2010 NBA Draft. All of us here at Philadunkia are hoping and praying, just like all of you, that Ed Stefanski and Doug Collins will select a player that has a huge impact on this franchise for years to come and one would think that type of player would be very easy to find and draft at No. 2.
However, when we reviewed the list of #2 selections from the last twenty years of the NBA Draft, we found plenty of evidence that the Sixers (or any team for that matter) are just as likely to misfire badly with the #2 overall pick as they are to get it right. To be honest, this Draft history crash course made our stomachs a little queasy, so of course we thought we’d share it with our readers.
Here’s a look at the last twenty overall #2 selections in the NBA Draft…
|Gary Payton||1990||Oregon State||Seattle SuperSonics|
|Kenny Anderson||1991||Georgia Tech||NJ Nets|
|Alonzo Mourning||1992||Georgetown||Charlotte Hornets|
|Shawn Bradley||1993||BYU||Philadelphia 76ers|
|Jason Kidd||1994||California||Dallas Mavericks|
|Antonio McDyess||1995||Alabama||LA Clippers|
|Marcus Camby||1996||UMass||Toronto Raptors|
|Keith Van Horn||1997||Utah||Phila. 76ers (Traded to NJN)|
|Mike Bibby||1998||Arizona||Vancouver Grizzlies|
|Steve Francis||1999||Maryland||Vancouver Grizzlies|
|Stromile Swift||2000||LSU||Vancouver Grizzlies|
|Tyson Chandler||2001||Dominquez HS (CA)||LA Clippers|
|Jay Williams||2002||Duke||Chicago Bulls|
|Darko Milicic||2003||Serbia-Montenegro||Detroit Pistons|
|Emeka Okafor||2004||UConn||Charlotte Bobcats|
|Marvin Williams||2005||UNC||Atlanta Hawks|
|LaMarcus Aldridge||2006||Texas||Chicago Bulls (Traded to POR)|
|Kevin Durant||2007||Texas||Seattle SuperSonics|
|Michael Beasley||2008||Kansas St.||Miami Heat|
|Hasheem Thabeet||2009||UConn||Memphis Grizzlies|
So here’s how we break down the success of the #2 selection in the NBA Draft since 1990…
** (Durant is a prediction given what he has done in the NBA so far.)
Consistent All-Star Level Players (1) — These guys have all the skills necessary to go down as a “great player” in NBA history and their resume gets more impressive with each year. With some hard work and some luck on the injury front, they could be a long shot to jump into the first category.
Impact Players(5) — These guys may have an All-Star appearance or two on their resume and at times can / could take over a game. At their peak or possibly still today you’d be happy like to have each of them on the Sixers roster.
Solid Players (3) — These players know their role, do it well and could be the piece to a NBA Championship puzzle, but in hind sight going #2 in the NBA Draft was too high given their career performance.
TBD (1) — The early returns have been average, but there have been flashes of brilliance. Everyone is still talking about potential and upside with this group.
Straight Flops (5) — What can you say? The warning signs were all there and still some NBA GM ignored the fact that the following group of players would not make it in the NBA and selected these players with the No. 2 overall pick in the NBA Draft.
Wash Outs (1) — Personal or injury problems sidelined a promising career.
Jay Williams (injury)
Having the #2 pick doesn’t guarantee that the 76ers will draft a prospect that has a long range positive impact on the franchise. Out of the twenty players drafted at #2 since 1990, wed’ put only four in the HoF category, and only 10 overall were rated as “Impact Players” or higher on our scale. A 50% success rate is a nice number in a lot of areas of life, but not when you are talking about whether or not you got it right with the 2nd pick in the NBA Draft.
Seven-footers have a high failure rate. Of the 5 players placed in the “Straight Flop” category, four were listed as 7’ 1” or more.
Guards are a safe bet. Of the 13 players we rated as “Solid” or higher on our scale, five were either point guards (Payton, Kidd, Anderson and Bibby) or shooting guards (Francis), and there was an intelligent argument made that Durant should be considered a shooting guard not a forward based on his style of game and skill set. If you put Durant in with the guards, then that would bring their total to six.
The Grizzlies should never, ever draft a center again. With Swift and Thabeet on the franchise’s resume, they may want to look at prospects who do not measure 7-foot tall.